92L Coastal Hugger? Or Out To Sea?

92L continues to survive with limit dry air/shear, live look in Florida on where 92L is as we speak, it is however very elongated not expecting 92L to consolidate within the next 3 days

It has a 40% of development over the next 5 days from the National Hurricane Center.

While that is on the table Harvey is a hurricane (See Owen's blog.) Anyways there are signs that 92L could be a coastal hugger and a out to sea scenario, We feel as though 92L will likely develop and become "Irma". We also feel as though this will again safely scoot out to sea,

due to a ridge over the northeast. Some 12Z EPS ensembles bring a sub-tropical to even a extra-tropical cyclone to the east coast US.

This is not a forecast as it's the only model showing it, the GFS,CMC all brings this out to sea so does the euro OP. Here is the GFS.

Keep in mind it's still a good 5-7 days out so nothing will be locked in stone yet till a low level center forms (LLC)

New blog post will be made by Owen tomorrow regarding the real big flooding potential in Texas from Harvey

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